Topological Data Analysis
TDA reveals the shape and structure of financial data by analyzing topological features that persist across multiple scales. This approach uncovers hidden patterns in market behavior.
Core Concepts
Persistent Homology
**H₀**: Connected components (market regimes)**H₁**: Loops (consolidation patterns)**H₂**: Voids (complex market structures)Filtration Process
Start with discrete data pointsGradually connect nearby pointsTrack topological feature birth/deathIdentify persistent structuresVisualization Components
Persistence Diagrams
Birth vs death times of featuresDiagonal represents noiseDistance from diagonal = persistenceColor coding by feature typeBarcode Plots
Horizontal bars show feature lifespansLength indicates persistenceStacked by homology dimensionInteractive filteringPoint Cloud Evolution
3D visualization of data pointsDynamic connection formationFeature highlightingScale parameter controlSignal Generation
Loop Events
**Birth**: New consolidation pattern**Death**: Breakout signal**Persistence**: Pattern strength**Multiplicity**: Pattern complexityRegime Detection
Connected component analysisCluster stability measurementTransition point identificationConfidence intervalsApplications
Risk Management
Early warning systemsStress testingPortfolio diversificationTail risk assessmentTrading Applications
Breakout predictionConsolidation identificationTrend confirmationMarket timing