Concept

Pattern Recognition in Data Shape

Topological Data Analysis finds patterns in the market's geometry

Topological Data Analysis finds patterns in the market's geometry. Our API computes persistent homology in real-time—you get early warning signals before price confirms.


Topological Data Analysis


TDA is a mathematical framework for analyzing the "shape" of data. Rather than looking at individual price points, we examine the overall structure and persistent features of the data cloud.


Key Concepts


Persistent Homology


We track topological features (loops, voids, connected components) as we vary a scale parameter. Features that persist across multiple scales are considered significant.


Betti Numbers


  • **β₀**: Number of connected components (market regimes)
  • **β₁**: Number of loops (consolidation patterns)
  • **β₂**: Number of voids (complex structures)

  • The TDA Precursor


    Our research shows that changes in topological features often precede significant market moves. Specifically:


    1. **Loop Formation**: During consolidation, a loop forms in state space

    2. **Loop Persistence**: The loop grows and stabilizes

    3. **Loop Death**: When the loop disappears, a breakout occurs


    Why It Works


    Topological features are:


  • **Robust to noise**: Small price fluctuations don't affect the overall shape
  • **Scale-independent**: Work across different timeframes
  • **Predictive**: Changes in topology precede changes in price

  • Signal Generation


    We monitor:


  • Loop birth and death events
  • Changes in Betti numbers
  • Wasserstein distances between persistence diagrams

  • These topological changes generate our trading signals.


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    Interactive visualization - Pattern Recognition in Data Shape